Justin L. Tobias

Assistant Professor of Economics

Member, Institute for Mathematical Behavioral Sciences

University of California-Irvine
3151 Social Science Plaza
Irvine, CA 92697-5100
jtobias@uci.edu

Department of Economics

Institute for Mathematical Behavioral Sciences
School of Social Sciences
University of California - Irvine

 

 

Research Interests

Econometrics, Bayesian Econometrics, Economics of Education, Simulation-Based Inference


Education

Ph.D. in Economics, University of Chicago, (1999). Century Fellowship.
Dissertation: ``Three Essays on Bayesian Inference in Econometrics with an Application to Estimating the Return to Schooling Quality''


Honors and Editorial Positions

Editorial Board, Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods, 7/01-Present.

UCI Distinguished Assistant Professor Award for Teaching, 2003-2004.


Book (In Progress)

Econometric Exercises: Bayesian Econometrics (with G. Koop and D.J.Poirier). Volume 12 of Econometrics Exercises Series, Cambridge University Press. Incomplete Draft of over 200 pages currently under review by Editors and Publisher.


Selected Journal Publications

 COMPLETE C.V.

·  Semiparametric Bayesian Inference in Multiple Equation Models (with G. Koop and D.J. Poirier).
Journal of Applied Econometrics , forthcoming. Version in pdf Format

  Assessing Assessments of School Performance: The Case of California.
The American Statistician , 58(1), 55-63, 2004. Version in pdf Format

·  Learning About Heterogeneity in Returns to Schooling (with G. Koop).
Journal of Applied Econometrics , forthcoming. Version in pdf Format Technical Appendix

·  Simple Estimators for Treatment Parameters in a Latent Variable Framework (with J. Heckman and E. Vytlacil).
Review of Economics and Statistics 85(3), 748-755, 2003. Version in pdf Format Technical Appendix
Earlier version of the paper published as NBER Working Paper #7950.

·  Do Dropouts Suffer From Dropping Out? Estimation and Prediction of Outcome Gains in Generalized Selection Models  (with M. Li and D.J. Poirier).
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 19(2), 203-225. Paper in pdf Format Click Here for Prior Sensitivity Results

·  On the Predictive Distributions of Outcome Gains in the Presence of an Unidentified Parameter (with D.J. Poirier).
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 21(2), 258-268, 2003.

·  A Finite Sample Hierarchical Analysis of Wage Variation Across Public High Schools: Evidence from the NLSY and High School and Beyond. (with M. Li).
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18, 315-336, 2003. Paper in pdf Format

·  Are Returns to Schooling Concentrated Among the Most Able? A Semiparametric Analysis of the Ability-Earnings Relationships.
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,61(1), 1-29, 2003 .

·  ``Nonparametric Density and Regression Estimation'' (with J. DiNardo).
Journal of Economic Perspectives 15(4) (Fall 2001), 11-28. The Paper, MATLAB Files and Data

·  "Further Results on Bayesian Method of Moments Analysis of the Multiple Regression Model" (with A. Zellner)
International Economic Review, 42(1), 121-139, 2001.


Publications in Conference Volumes

·  ``On Inferring Effects of Binary Treatments with Unobserved Confounders: Comment" (with D. J. Poirier) Bayesian Statistics 7,82-83, 2003.

·  ``Bayesian Method of Moments Analysis of Parametric and Semiparametric Regression Models,'' (with A. Zellner and H. Ryu) 1998 Proceedings of the Section on Bayesian Statistical Science of the American Statistical Association.

·  "Further Results on Bayesian Method of Moments Analysis of the Multiple Regression Model" (with A. Zellner) 1998 Proceedings of the Section on Bayesian Statistical Science of the American Statistical Association.


Other Working Papers

·  Across-Regime Covariance Restrictions in Treatment Response Models (with D.J. Poirier).

·  "Semiparametric Bayesian Inference in Smooth Coefficient Models" (with G. Koop)   Revise and Resubmit, Journal of Econometrics Paper in pdf format

·  "Estimation, Learning and Parameters of Interest in a Multiple Outcome Selection Model."  Under reviewPaper in pdf Format

·  "Schools, School Quality and Academic Achievement: Evidence from the Philippines" (with M. Bacolod). Under review. Paper in .pdf Format

·  "Bayesian Modeling of School Effects Using Hierarchical Models with Smoothing Priors" (with M. Li) Under review   Paper in pdf format

 

 


Current Projects

·  The ABC's of California's API

·  Do Individuals with the Most Schooling Also have the Highest Returns to Schooling?


Previous and Upcoming Presentations

Baldwin-Wallace College, Case Western Reserve University, Claremont-McKenna College, Iowa State University, Montana State University, Oberlin College, Oregon State University, Stanford University, Syracuse University, University of California-Davis, University of California-Irvine, University of California-Los Angeles, University of California-Riverside, University of Chicago, University of Connecticut, University of Michigan, University of Missouri, University of Southern California, University of Toledo, University of Virginia, University of Western Ontario, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Vanderbilt University, Washington University (Olin)


Western Economic Association Meetings (Session Organizer and Chair, 2001)
Econometric Society Meetings (CalTech, 1997)
ASA Joint Statistical Meetings (Dallas, 1998)
AEA Meetings (2002 (Session Organizer and Chair), 2001)
International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) (Laguna Beach, 2001)


Referee for

Canadian Journal of Economics, Economics of Governance, Econometrics Journal, Empirical Economics, International Economic Review, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Development Economics, Journal of Econometrics, Journal of Human Resources, Journal of Labor Economics, Journal of Productivity Analysis, Journal of Regional Science, Labour Economics, Review of Economics and Statistics, Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, Southern Economic Journal

 


Mail:jtobias@uci.edu

University of California
Department of Economics
3151 Social Science Plaza
Irvine, CA 92697-5100
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